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The Blank Swan: The End of Probability by Elie Ayache

The Blank Swan: The End of Probability Elie Ayache ebook
Page: 496
Publisher: Wiley
Format: pdf
ISBN: 9780470725221

Sep 1, 2012 - I think Obama is just reducing the probability of a black swan event happening at the end of October. In particular, self-similar models can be constructed by combining scaled pieces (such as wavelets or image components) and then assigning a probability distribution over the scalings, sort of like what is done in classical spectrum analysis of 1/f noise in time series. As of now, it appears more likely that the “Chernobyl” end of the spectrum is a more likely result; and thus, the odds of something MASSIVELY market roiling emerging from Japan increase with each passing day. By definition, a Black Swan event is . Something "nontechnical readers" may just be best poised to sniff out, in addition to the fact that he is telling you not to read the chapter: Taleb is saying, in essence (pretend that footnote has a double asterisk at the end): "Forget everything you heard in college statistics or probability theory. From a statistical black swan behavior. May 19, 2014 - Now, The Black Swan isn't the worst book in the history of civilization, and this isn't the kind of cutesy blog where I follow that up with "At least it's not Atlas Shrugged LMAO". Aug 22, 2013 - I have written “early and often” of the “Black Swan” events that could occur at any given time; in turn, throwing the political, economic, and/or social landscape into turmoil. May 1, 2011 - The Blank Swan: The End of Probability By Elie Ayache Wiley, 2010 $39.95, 476 pages. Dec 4, 2011 - So this eurodollar creation is made outside the real domestic economy, and therefore has no immediate effect on domestic money supply and prices at the end of the money chain. Elie Ayache's book, "The Blank Swan," has been hailed by one reviewer as "a joke…written in pseudo-philosophical jargon. Apr 9, 2007 - The book is about unexpected events (“black swans”) and the problems with statistical models such as the normal distribution that don't allow for these rarities.